MARC GERSTEIN + MICHAEL ELLSBERG ~ RULES TO LIVE BY – PREVENTING AND COPING WITH ACCIDENTS ~ 2008

~ UTRYF-TIAMRTI-GTSR-WLTHETYAETAH-AWA-TCR-TAOME ~ Understanding The Risk You Face – This Is A Multipart Requirement That Involves – Grasping The Statistical Risk – What’s Likely To Happen Each Time You Are Exposed To A Hazard – As Well As –The Cumulative Risk – That Arises Over Multiple Exposures

~ YMCTETWTFDB-TPOM-A-TCSAAECTP ~ You Must Come To Emotional Terms With The Fundamental Difference Between – The Probability Of Mishap – And – The Consequences Should An Adverse Event Come To Pass

~ ABID-TIOAGBOIUOARAOEAOID ~ Avoid Being In Denial – There Is Often A Gap Between Our Intellectual Understanding Of A Risk And Our Emotional Acceptance Of Its Danger

~ PATWSAEW-MCMASEHTTAATF-A-MPDSENMBT-‘BO’-H ~ Pay Attention To Weak Signals And Early Warnings – Many Complex Machines And Systems Exhibit Hints That They Are Abut To Fail – And – Many Poorly Designed Systems Experience Near Misses Before The – “Big One” – Hits

~ IIENTSTCTACTOC-IIATETFOOO ~ It Is Essential Not To Subordinate The Chance To Avoid Catastrophe To Other Considerations – It Is All Too Easy To Focus On Other Objectives

~ DDBWFAPOPTA ~ Don’t Delay By Waiting For Absolute Proof Or Permission To Act

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