Month: October 2021

SHERRY TURKLE ~ ALONE TOGETHER ~ 2011

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~ WE-MFT-A-LFEO ~ We Expect – More From Technology – And – Less From Each Other

~ PAL-TNIS-B-IWA-AO-WMDOTROS ~ People Are Lonely – The Network Is Seductive – But – If We Are – Always On – We May Deny Ourselves The Rewards Of Solitude

~ FG-IN-GR-OCFGFBR ~ Feeling Good – Is No – Golden Rule – One Can Feel Good For Bad Reasons

~ WA-PP-NOT-NWWL-BT-LWWN ~ We Are – Psychologically Programmed – Not Only To – Nurture What We Love – But To – Love What We Nurture

~ AWDO-WMAO ~ As We Distribute Ourselves – We May Abandon Ourselves

~ B-IYS-T-F-F-HAD-I-A-OG-O-VW-TGTBSYN-A-TSYNIOWYFAF ~ But – If You’re Spending – Three – Four – Five – Hours A Day – In – An – Online Game – Or – Virtual World – There’s Got To Be Someplace You’re Not – And – That Someplace You’re Not Is Often With Your Family And Friends

~ NS-PRFLDWT-MFTVTTRW ~ Not Surprisingly – People Report Feeling Let Down When They – Move From The Virtual To The Real World

~ T-TUU-AIPT-FUU-CT-OPTGUMT ~ Technology – Ties Us Up – As It Promises To – Free Us Up – Connectivity Technologies – Once Promised To Give Us More Time

~ ADTEO-WIOORTSTMWD ~ A Danger To Even Ourselves – We Insist On Our Right To Send Text Messages While Driving

~ OBTVAVOOL-WTTTTHUFT-B-TMUBTE-A-EMISOR ~ Overwhelmed By The Volume And Velocity Of Our Lives – We Turn To Technology To Help Us Find Time – But – Technology Makes Us Busier Than Ever – And – Ever More In Search Of Retreat

~ TRTLOOEL-B-IIOUTLWWTL? ~ Technology Reshapes The Landscape Of Our Emotional Lives – But – Is It Offering Us The Lives We Want To Lead?

~ RWRARU;RWPARD ~ Relationships With Robots Are Ramping Up; Relationships With People Are Ramping Down

~ S-OETWMA-DISOHP? ~ So – Of Every Technology We Must Ask – Does It Serve Our Human Purposes?

~ IARMYLI-IIA? ~ If A Robot Makes You Love It – Is It Alive?

~ S-IMSNT-WAR-‘S’-IYHI ~ Soon – It May Seem Natural To – Watch A Robot – “Suffer” – If You Hurt It

~ DOAR-PIA-RF-B-WOBAT-‘C’-WD-LWP-MSO ~ Dependence On A Robot – Presents Itself As – Risk Free – But – When One Becomes Accustomed To – “Companionship” – Without Demands – Life With People – May Seem Overwhelming

~ DOAPIR-IMUSTR-B-IAOUT-DKA ~ Dependence On A Person Is Risky – It Make Us Subject To Rejection – But – It Also Opens Us To – Deeply Knowing Another

~ RC-MSASW-B-ICUTA-CW-TLASAMTM ~ Robotic Companionship – May Seem A Sweet Deal – But – It Consigns Us To A – Closed World – The Lovable As Safe And Made To Measure

~ DWHPFTJ? ~ Don’t We Have People For These Jobs?

~ FIVB-AI-HWITSB-AMVOP-A-AP-ES-VOM ~ From Its Very Beginnings – Artificial Intelligence – Has Worked In This Space Between – A Mechanical View Of People – And – A Psychological – Even Spiritual – View Of Machines

~ WARHOG-HOE-MUTTTRIIIU-WTH-WFAPFDC-WWITH ~ When A Robot Holds Our Gaze – Hardwiring Of Evolution – Makes Us Think That The Robot Is Interested In Us – When That Happens – We Feel A Possibility For Deeper Connection – We Want It To Happen

~ CM ~ Caring Machines

~ ‘C’-MTMW-TCOU-NTTW-CAU ~ “Caring” – Meant That Machines Would – Take Care Of Us – Not That They Would – Care About Us

~ ITEATB-UW-WSTDTJBR-IINDTWTTIOA-RO-ICAMA-D-CF-TSLLMTSW-TIOA-RB-BLT ~ If The Elderly Are Tended By – Underpaid Workers – Who Seem To Do Their Jobs By Rote – It Is Not Difficult To Warm To The Idea Of A – Robot Orderly – If Children Are Minded At – Day-Care Facilities – That Seem Like Little More Than Safe Warehouses – The Idea Of A – Robot Babysitter – Becomes Less Troubling

~ AO ~ Always On

~ OWROFTF-O-P/M/U-L-A-B-R-A-NL-DT-WBLWT-GOTATAC ~ Once We Remove Ourselves From The Flow – Of – Physical / Messy / Untidy – Life – And – Both – Robotics – And – Networked Life – Do That – We Become Less Willing To – Get Out There And Take A Chance

~ TNSOTS:TAMA ~ The New State Of The Self: Tethered And Marked Absent

~ WHMF-M-T-T-M-L ~ We Have Moved From – Multi-Tasking – To – Multi-Lifing

~ O-F-T-F-C-ARIB-ICATM ~ Our – Face-To-Face Conversations – Are Routinely Interrupted By – Incoming Calls And Text Messages

~ IT-NE-TAFTIFOYTAAMPORTAT-HBCTTN ~ In The – New Etiquette – Turning Away From Those In Front Of You To Answer A Mobile Phone Or Respond To A Text – Has Become Close To The Norm

~ RF-DTBB-W/F/P/R-DB-A-TAU-E-ATT-WAQTCT-CPOAT-TKNRFTAHLITS ~ Rituals For – Demarcating The Boundaries Between – Work / Family / Play / Relaxation – Demarcations Blur – As – Technology Accompanies Us – Everywhere – All The Time – We Are Too Quick To Celebrate The – Continual Presence Of A Technology – That Knows No Respect For Traditional And Helpful Lines In The Sand

~ TSTTAPAAT-I-VTSIAO ~ The Self That Treats A Person As A Thing – Is – Vulnerable To Seeing Itself As One

~ GUT ~ Growing Up Tethered

~ IWCB-CIT-NTBCIT-DNSAPOAPBAATWTA-IBTN ~ If We Can Be – Continually In Touch – Needing To Be Continually In Touch – Does Not Seem A Problem Or A Pathology But An Accommodation To What Technology Affords – It Becomes The Norm

~ B-OC-TANF-THB-‘F’-T-MATDITW ~ But – Of Course – They Are Not Friends – They Have Been – “Friended” – That – Makes All The Difference In The World

~ IS-WDRTW-B-HTSTTOOT-B-IYPIAWY-SSCLSLH ~ In Solitude – We Don’t Reject The World – But – Have The Space To Think Our Own Thoughts – But – If Your Phone Is Always With You – Seeking Solitude Can Look Suspiciously Like Hiding

~ I-SC-WB-C-A-ICBHTRTAL-LOS-MFB-BTN-T-SBB ~ In – Simulation Culture – We Become – Cyborg – And – It Can Be Hard To Return To Anything Less – Life On The Screen – Moves From Being – Better Than Nothing – To – Simply Being Better

~ O-IBMDTTWMCFP-BWHTOTSLT-ATE-A-TEIIS-WWSLP-WAPLSWH-PTAI ~ Online – It Becomes More Difficult To Tell Which Messages Come From Programs – Because We Have Taught Ourselves To Sound Like Them – At The Extreme – And – The Extreme Is In Sight – When We Sound Like Programs – We Are Perhaps Less Shocked When They – Propose Themselves As Interlocutors

~ W-PCA-TANT-B-EITAT ~ When – People Create Avatars – They Are Not Themselves – But – Express Important Truths About Themselves

~ TCOS ~ The Cruelty Of Strangers

~ A-DNPUF-EI ~ Anonymity – Does Not Protect Us From – Emotional Investment

~ O-TFST-DSD-I-DTCTNA-T-SSAR ~ Often – The First Step Toward – Doing Something Different – Is – Developing The Capacity To Not Act – To – Stay Still And Reflect

~ HAS ~ Hide And Stalk

~ WP-TWY-PM-TH-CAC-WP-HYSNA-Y-HETD ~ When People – Tamper With Your – Physical Mail – They Have – Committed A Crime – When People – Hack Your Social-Networking Account – You – Have Explaining To Do

~ ES-BTFSN-TTSSTD-U-AMOC ~ Electronic Shadow – Begins To Feel So Natural – That The Shadow Seems To Disappear – Until – A Moment Of Crisis

~ A-OC-WAIIC-ECBTIAI ~ And – Of Course – When All Information Is Collected – Everyone Can Be Turned Into An Informer

~ WMOT-AT-IT-MASU ~ We Make Our Technologies – And They – In Turn – Make And Shape Us

~ TGUMAMO-WWTWW ~ Technology Gives Us More And More Of – What We Think We Want

~ WHI-IAET-AY-WHATTDU-WDB-WWROTIIWWD-HTKTB-WSHB ~ We Have Invented – Inspiring And Enhancing Technologies – And Yet – We Have Allowed Them To Diminish Us – We Deserve Better – When We Remind Ourselves That It Is We Who Decide – How To Keep Technology Busy – We Shall Have Better

GLYNNIS HOOD ~ THE BEAVER MANIFESTO ~ 2013

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~ TBM ~ The Beaver Manifesto

~ TFT-BSE-I-NA-A-E-INSOAM ~ The Fact That – Beavers Still Exist – In – North America – And – Europe – Is Nothing Short Of A Miracle

~ IMP-AWWBIAWWWATLIS-IATWWCBHIAAA-THADABATC-TBOUAU-‘G’-S ~ In Most Places – A World Without Beavers Is A World Without Water And The Life It Supports – In A Time When Water Consumption By Humans Is At An All-Time High And Droughts Are Becoming All Too Common – The Beaver Offers Us An Undeniably – “Green” – Solution

~ SMSADTTBBAWPWT ~ So Many Species Are Drawn To The Beaver’s Benefits And Would Perish Without Them

~ MOOELWBTB-EDITHOOC-WASPOAWTHTC ~ Much Of Our Ecological Landscape Was Born Through Beavers – Even Deep In The Heart Of Our Cities – We Are Still Part Of A World They Helped To Create

~ B-1900-BW-AE-I-NA ~ By – 1900 – Beavers Were – Almost Extinct – In – North America

~ O-4.7M-BP-AATAHOBB-1769-1868-TFDNITGNOPTDNMTGAWD ~ Over – 4.7 Million – Beaver Pelts – Arrived At The Auction Houses Of Britain Between – 1769 – 1868 – These Figures Do Not Include The Great Numbers Of Pelts That Did Not Make The Grade And Were Discarded

~ ROPCWH-ROB-HBUTREDL ~ Regardless Of Potential Conflicts With Humans – Reintroductions Of Beavers – Have Been Used To Restore Ecologically Damaged Landscapes

~ IMS-IIATT-SSTBAAP-A-MA-APTNUTAWCATCECIB ~ In Many Situations – It Is Also Time To – Stop Seeing The Beaver As A Pest – And – More As – A Pilot To Navigate Us Through A Warming Climate And The Complex Ecological Challenges It Brings

~ TBP-BA-T-F-W-A-ES-DT-DO2002-WI ~ The Benefit Of – Beaver Activity – To – Farmers – Wildlife – And – Ecological Systems – During The – Drought Of 2002 – Were Immeasurable

~ TDB-BAH-A-BAP-HBAMITNAPFC ~ This Dichotomy Between – Beaver As Hero – And – Beaver As Pest – Has Been A Mainstay In The North American Psyche For Centuries

~ B-C-OTTT:T-A-WTC ~ But – Creativity – Often Takes Two Things: Time – And – Willingness To Change

~ TC-‘TITOTTW’-W-NN-HBTFR ~ The Comment – “This Is The Only Thing That Works” – When – Nothing New – Had Been Tried For – Years

~ IOBWYLEI ~ Innovation Often Begins When You Least Expect It

~ WWTC-EWW-B-WWITB-W-BW-MLO-LO ~ We Want To Co-Exist With Wildlife – But – We Want It To Be – Well-Behaved Wildlife – Much Like Our – Lawn Ornaments

~ T-SF-HLRTPOT-SAB-OTP-WOMOOCFT-PI-N ~ Today – Synthetic Fabrics – Have Largely Replaced The Products Of The – Silkworm And Beaver – Of The Past – We Obtain Many Of Our Clothes From The – Petrochemical Industry – Now

~ TAOSFB/HCB-A-TT-TAP-TASRI-TI-EW ~ There Are Other Solutions For Beaver/Human Conflicts – But – Again – They Take – Time And Patience – That Are So Rare In – Today’s Instant-Everything World

~ IISAAWTNTSHASABMLABLBIAE ~ It Is Society As A Whole That Needs To See How Animals Such As Beavers Modify Landscapes And Bring Life Back Into Arid Environments

~ WANFASWWCEHTDWMFASD ~ We Are Now Facing A Scenario Where We Could Easily Have To Deal With More Frequent And Severe Droughts

~ ATGD-TRTFWBAFOTFS ~ As The Glaciers Diminish – The Rivers They Feed Will Become A Fraction Of Their Former Size

~ WWNMT-ACOB-TSWITCDTPOARWC-B-ISWBABTKTA ~ We Will Need More Than – A Colony Of Beavers – To Stop What Is To Come During This Period Of A Rapidly Warming Climate – But – It Sure Would Be A Benefit To Keep Them Around

~ BKHTKWA-IIALET-ED-DS-A-TTR-WABDFF ~ Beavers Know How To Keep Water Around – It Is A Lot Easier Than – Excavating Dugouts – Damning Streams – And – Trying To Replicate – What A Beaver Does For Free

~ EITLAGO-TMBE ~ Even If The Laws Are Good Ones – They Must Be Enforced

~ GCWATLTW-B-ITINC-T-PPATFLTET-TAJ-WWI ~ Governments Can Write All The Legislation They Want – But – If There Is No Commitment – To – Providing People At The Field Level To Enforce Them – They Are Just – Words Without Intent

~ CA-NP-FOO-CATR-TOO-L-O-NH-WTT ~ Changing A – National Psyche – From One Of – Complete Access To Resources – To One Of – Limited – Or – No Harvest – Would Take Time

~ B-GW-A-OOWR-PNCF-TC-WW-RTTC-A-TTIT-RTBS ~ But – Global Warming – And – Overexploitation Of Water Resources – Pose New Challenges For – The Commons – Whether We – Rise To These Challenges – And – Turn Tragedy Into Triumph – Remains To Be Seen

~ ANHATWMMS ~ A More Holistic Approach To Wildlife Management Makes Sense

~ TLONAAEEWTB-A-WITEGA-BRTHTPBTTVOOL-WTPACTCAM-TLOTLDU ~ The Landscapes Of North America And Europe Evolved With The Beaver – And – Without It Their Ecology Goes Awry – Beavers Represent The Heart That Pumps Blood Through The Veins Of Our Landscape – Without The Ponds And Channels They Create And Maintain – The Lifeblood Of The Land Dries Up

~ DCOOOROAGS-WSSOWIEARTWP ~ Despite Centuries Of Overexploitation Of Resources On A Global Scale – We Still Stumble Our Way Into Ecosystems And Remove The Working Parts

~ TBHSTTUASABAPMOOEC ~ The Beaver Has Something To Teach Us About Survival And Becoming A Productive Member Of Our Ecological Community

~ WWSAPIASPC-WRCIWTLTWCTMAETMAPPBTI ~ When We See A Product In A Shiny Plastic Case – We Rarely Connect It With The Land That Was Cleared To Mine And Extract The Minerals And Petroleum Products Behind That Innovation

~ WAIRFTVETOUEWNTS ~ We Are Increasingly Removed From The Very Environment That Offers Us Everything We Need To Survive

~ BDD ~ Beaver Deficit Disorder

~ WWTTTTLFOSDOOOAAWTSOWATRWUIANL ~ Whether We Take The Time To Learn From Other Species Depends On Our Own Adaptability And Willingness To See Our World And The Resources Within Us In A New Light

WILLIAM LOGAN ~ AIR ~ 2012

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~ TACBO-ICBC-ICBC-IHNBOB-ICTFOCATDOP ~ The Air Cannot Be Owned – It Cannot Be Controlled – It Cannot Be Contained – It Has No Borders Or Boundaries – It Changes The Fate Of Creatures And The Destiny Of Peoples

~ TAIEMIASG-TINOPWTPTHTLOI-A-P-TINOPAAATHSA ~ The Air In Every Moment Is A Special Gift – There Is No Other Planet Within Twenty Parsecs That Has The Like Of It – And – Perhaps – There Is No Other Place Anywhere At All That Has Such Air

~ TORTTWINAI-TD-ITTFRTTTE-WBTSOFIANADED ~ The Only Reason That The World Is Not Awash In – The Dead – Is That The Fungi Return Them To The Earth – We Breathe The Spores Of Fungi In And Out All Day Every Day

~ T-BF-T-TF-A-TG-GAS-AABO-W-PP ~ The – Boreal Forests – The – Temperate Forests – And – The Great – Grasslands And Savannahs – Are All Based On – Wind-Pollinated Plants

~ ITIE-NBNF-HBTPSO-AC-TDTLAOO-R-P-SETLITUOLAAITLTMOHCD ~ In The Industrial Era – Neither Bacteria Nor Fungi – Have Been The Primary Source Of – Airborne Contaminants – That Damage The Lungs And Other Organs – Rather – Particles – Small Enough To Lodge In The Upper Or Lower Airway And In The Lungs Themselves More Often Have Caused Disease

~ TF-S-PI-A-NTWBAN-A-TS-CDWTTDOOPALAAT-1920~ Toxic Fogs – Smog-Producing Inversions – And – Noondays That Were Black As Night – Alerted – The So-Called Developed World To The Dangers Of Outdoor Pollution As Long Ago As The – 1920s

~ MM-O-GOG ~ Mystery Materials – Often – Give Off Gas

~ T-OBOBF-IRF-AHMATRP ~ The – Open Burning Of Biomass Fuels – Is Responsible For – A Huge Mortality Among The Rural Poor

~ TPTRLITAATTSO ~ The Particles That Remain Longest In The Air Are Typically The Smallest Ones

~ IAD-WAM-TK-TD-TFOT-TOPTBTCW-TAWABIIQ ~ In A Democracy – We Are Meant – To Know – To Debate – To Find Out Together – This Ought Particularity To Be The Case When – The Air We All Breathe Is In Question

~ W-ROS-F-IISJWTCD-R-IIASOWWA-TD-TL-TS-A-TMOTHRFTSOTE-AOTPACBTGN-‘A’-TI-TDIA ~ When – Rain Or Snow – Falls – It Is Seldom Just Water That Comes Down – Rather – It Is A Solution Of Water With All – The Dusts – The Liquids – The Smokes – And – The Microscopic Organisms That Have Risen From The Surface Of The Earth – All Of These Particles Are Called By The General Name – “Aerosols” – That Is – Things Dissolved In Air

~ DOF-EB-RC-A-FC ~ Droplets Of Fat – Emitted By – Restaurant Chimneys – And – Food Carts

~ GT ~ Ground Truth

~ TTOTAOBUWWDNE ~ The Theater Of The Air Often Brings Us What We Do Not Expect

~ B-CA-A-APCORD ~ Black-Carbon Aerosols – Are – A Principal Cause Of Respiratory Disease

~ APWNPGW-ASTFTAWAHBP-TARA-IAPP ~ Aerosol Pollution Will Never Prevent Greenhouse Warming – Although Schemes To Fill The Air With Aerosols Have Been Proposed – They Are Regarded As – Ineffective And Possibly Poisonous

~ WWTTAAAD-JAWHTTD-TITOGDNJGA ~ When We Treat The Air As A Dump – Just As We Have Treated The Dirt – The Invisible Tides Of Garbage Do Not Just Go Away

~ TWIAIP-SASTTCTEART-SCBEBO-SAIFBPTATP-ADOT-PM-O-COGOC-TTA-F-STR-T-EOS-IBFTMCFOCATL-ATKOL ~ The World Is Awash In Perfumes – Some Are Specific To The Creature That Emits And Receives Them – Some Can Be Eavesdropped By Others – Some Are Intentionally Faked By Predators To Attract Their Prey – All Depend On The – Physical Movement – Of – Chemicals Or Group Of Chemicals– Through The Air – From – Sender To Receiver – This – Exchange Of Signals – Is By Far The Most Common Form Of Communication Among The Living – All The Kingdoms Of Life

~ MCMTTTWFCBFSTTFCFIT ~ Many Creatures Mark The TraIl To Where Food Can Be Found So That Their Friends Can Find It Too

~ WEA-COASESA ~ When Enemies Appear – Creatures Of All Sizes Emit Scented Alarms

~ TTOTAOBUWWDNE ~ The Theater Of The Air Often Brings Us What We Do Not Expect

~ ASRTT:BAAL ~ A Song Requires Two Things: Breath And A Listener

~ NCBSWE ~ Nothing Can Be Said Without Exhaling

~ MST-ICIUTTA-B-ITUOOO ~ Music Stops Thought – It Comes Into Us Through The Air – But – It Takes Us Out Of Ourselves

~ BTAPIAH-IYCBT-YCLT ~ Breath Turns A Place Into A Habitat – If You Can Breathe There – You Can Live There

~ BRAE-IRA-IAO-A-IR-GAT-ABOACAAM-IWAI-EIE-W-O-FB-IAO-A-RTTOBTPOIE ~ Breath Requires An Exchange – It Requires An – Inside And Outside – And – It Requires – Give-And-Take – A Breath Of Air Comes Across A Membrane – Interacts With An Inside – Exchanges Its Elements – With – Others – From Both – Inside And Outside – And – Returns To The Outside Bearing The Products Of Its Exchange

~ FTM ~ Fogging The Mirror

~ TAITKOTB ~ The Air Is The Kingdom Of Breath

~ ABC-O-N-CD-AWVOOC-DM-G-B-DS-PH-A-S ~ A Breath Contains – Oxygen – Nitrogen – Carbon Dioxide – A Wide Variety Of Other Compounds – Dust Motes – Pollen Grains – Bacteria – Dead Skin – Plant Hairs – And – Spores

~ TSILBOTA-TTFO-G-D-S-V-SAWMTS ~ The Sky Is Light Because Of The Air – The Thin Film Of – Gases – Dusts – Spores – Vapor – Sun And Weather Make The Sky

DAVID ORRELL ~ METHODS OF DIVINATION ~ APOLLO’S ARROW ~ 2007

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~ A-AC ~ Aeromancy – Atmospheric Conditions

~ A-SAP ~ Astrology – Stars And Planets

~ B-POST ~ Bibilomancy – Passages Of Sacred Texts

~ B-MM ~ Biology – Mathematical Models

~ C-TC ~ Cartomancy – Tarot Cards

~ C-LAT ~ Ceraunoscopy – Lightening And Thunder

~ C-PR ~ Chiromancy – Palm Reading

~ C-D/L ~ Cleromancy – Dice / Lots

~ C-CB ~ Crystallomancy – Crystal Balls

~ E-MM ~ Economics – Mathematical Models

~ G ~ Guessing

~ H-AE ~ Haruspicy – Animal Entrails

~ H-NOH ~ Hippomancy – Neighing Of Horses

~ M-MM ~ Meteorology – Mathematical Models

~ MOTB ~ Molesophy – Moles On The Body

~ N-N ~ Numerology – Numbers

~ O-D ~ Oneiromancy – Dreams

~ O-FOB ~ Ornithomancy – Flight Of Birds

~ SOTH ~ Phrenology – Shape Of The Head

~ SAF ~ Pyromancy – Smoke And Fire

~ T-TL/CG ~ Tasseomancy – Teal Leaves / Coffee Grounds

DAVID ORRELL ~ THE PSYCHOLOGY OF ECONOMICS ~ APOLLO’S ARROW ~ 2007

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~ C-IDPIPATES-IOLATBP ~ Compartmentalizing – Investors Divide Problems Into Parts And Treat Each Separately – Instead Of Looking At The Big Picture

~ TF-EFCCTTFB-B-WTMIGD-PEITSD-A-WIIGU-TSITL ~ Trend Following – Extrapolating From Current Conditions Tends To Fuel Bubbles – Because – When The Market Is Going Down – People Expect It To Stay Down – And – When It Is Going Up – The Sky Is The Limit

~ LA-PTL-PIW-TD-TTD-PIL-TSA ~ Loss Aversion – People Take Less – Pleasure In Winning – Ten Dollars – Than They Do – Pain In Losing – The Same Amount

~ D-IMBEITAAOWTE-TRI-CD ~ Denial – Investors Maintain Beliefs Even If They Are At Odds With The Evidence – This Results In – Cognitive Dissonance

~ S-IAOIBT-OOO ~ Suggestion – Investors Are Overly Influenced By The – Opinions Of Others

~ SQB-ITTAC ~ Status Quo Bias – Investors Tend To Avoid Change

~ IC-ILFPWTDE-TIAC-S ~ Illusory Correlations – Investors Look For Patterns Where They Don’t Exist – This Is Also Called – Superstition

DAVID ORRELL ~ APOLLO’S ARROW ~ 2007

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~ FHAAFACM ~ Forecasting Has Always Attracted Fraudsters And Con Men

~ WABATTFNNRTRP-TCS-I-W/H/W-MBMITTKWHGUT ~ We Are Becoming Aware That The Future Need Not Resemble The Recent Past – The Coming Storms – In – Weather / Health / Wealth – May Be More Intense Than The Kind We Have Grown Used To

~ A-ST-IGCVOIICBUT-PTBOAS-ATTDP-MBABOEI-B-INMF-TAPOMA ~ A – Scientific Theory – Is Generally Considered Valid Only If It Can Be Used To – Predict The Behaviour Of A System – A Theory That Doesn’t Predict – May Be A Beautiful Or Elegant Idea – But – It’s No More Functional – Than A Piece Of Modern Art

~ LT-HPTEP ~ Living Things – Have Properties That Elude Prediction

~ FHALPC-TDT-ETW-ITO-S-C-A-E-R ~ Forecasting Has A Large Psychological Component – The Desire To – Explain The World – In Terms Of – Simple – Cause-And-Effect – Relationships

~ AP-A-OI ~ Accurate Predictions – Are – Often Ignored

~ IA-D-C-W-APCSSBTNAA ~ In A – Dangerous – Chaotic – World – Any Predictions Can Sometimes Seem Better Than None At All

~ TNTSF-OAP0STBAFCOHB ~ The Need To Search For – Order And Pattern – Seems To Be A Fundamental Characteristic Of Human Beings

~ POAR-LTHCOWGW-A-OOTBWTDTITUA-SL

~ Priest Of Any Religion – Like To Have Control Over What Gets Written – And – One Of The Best Ways To Do This Is To Use A – Specialized Language

~ TAMWTDACLTASO ~ There Are More Ways To Draw A Crooked Line Than A Straight One

~ TMRWTGFFASP-IS-TST-IHA-MA ~ The Most Reliable Way To Get Funding For A – Scientific Project – Is Still – To Show That – It Has A – Military Application

~ TPIT-TFNDQCTP ~ The Problem Is That – The Future Never Does Quite Copy The Past

~ IIIT-M-NBCW-FR-R ~ It Is Important That – Models – Not Be Confused With – Far Richer – Reality

~ MDABCDNNH-AMDOGDR-BTNOUPE ~ More Data And Bigger Computers Do Not Necessarily Help – Adding More Detail Often Gives Diminishing Returns – Because The Number Of Unknown Parameters Explodes

~ WCMT-TOAL-TWWCT-AOAPATS ~ We Cannot Model The – Trajectory Of A Life – The Way We Can The – Arc Of A Planet Across The Sky

~ PMASEORAA ~ Perhaps Markets Aren’t So Efficient Or Rational After All

~ PINAGP-A-CSM-WT-CAOUE-O-AABC-A-U ~ Pollution Is Now A Global Problem – And – Chemically Synthesized Molecules – With Their – Complex And Often Unknown Effects – On – Atmospheric And Biological Chemistry – Are – Ubiquitous

~ WANST-TIC-OG-O-TEM ~ We Are Not Slaves To – The Initial Condition – Our Genes – Or – The Efficient Market

~ COEFASOU ~ Creativity Often Emerges From A State Of Uncertainty

MICHIKO KAKUTANI ~ THE DEATH OF TRUTH ~ 2018

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~ DFF/DORBE/TCOL-A-DTVVOT ~ Disregard For Facts / Displacement Of Reason By Emotion / The Corrosion Of Language – Are – Diminishing The Very Value Of Truth

~ SIUA-ASI-EOES ~ Science Is Under Attack – And So Is – Expertise Of Every Sort

~ AW-E-R-IQ-TWS-OW ~ And When – Experts – Raised – Inconvenient Questions – They Were Sidelined – Or Worse

~ TC-OOL ~ The Co-Opting Of Language

~ AHMOU-A-SE-A-U-B-TMBJBTIBTSOOV ~ A Huge Majority Of Us – Assume – Search Engines – Are – Unbiased – But – That May Be Just Because They’re Increasingly Biased To Share Our Own Views

~ SM-GUITTCOVOTW-PLI-IN-C-S-A-CS-WGOT ~ Social Media – Gives Us Information That Tends To Confirm Our View Of The World – People Live In – Increasingly Narrow – Content – Silos – And – Correspondingly Smaller – Walled Gardens Of Thought

~ MAD-I-B-TG-TT-OPATW ~ Misinformation And Disinformation – Is – Becoming – The – Go-To Tactic – Of Propagandists Around The World

~ TSOTT ~ The Schadenfreude Of The Trolls

~ WT-T-B-T-F-B-PLPFTCO2008-MWPWSTTMULG ~ While The – Too-Big-To-Fail – Banks – Paid Little Price For The Crash Of 2008 – Many Working People Were Still Trying To Make Up Lost Ground